What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Men's Rugby World Cup Winner on Kalshi

If Zimbabwe wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Rugby World Cup.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Tonga win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Tonga	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	4,994	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Samoa win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Samoa	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	4,443	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will South Africa win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · South Africa	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	3,082	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will New Zealand win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · New Zealand	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	2,316	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will England win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · England	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	467	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will France win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · France	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	363	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Ireland win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Ireland	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	338	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Australia win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Australia	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	314	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Scotland win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Scotland	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	134	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Fiji win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Fiji	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	55	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Argentina	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	10	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Zimbabwe win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Zimbabwe	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Wales win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Wales	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will USA win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · USA	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Uruguay win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Uruguay	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Romania win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Romania	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Portugal	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Japan win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Japan	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Italy win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Italy	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Hong Kong China win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Hong Kong China	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Georgia win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Georgia	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Spain win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Spain	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Chile win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Chile	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Canada win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup? · Canada	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 21, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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