What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 88¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.44.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 88% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 88%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

South Africa MoM inflation on Kalshi

If the South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.

Market says (typical open contract)

88%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

25% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
88¢ (now)	0.7¢	$0.42	88.7%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above -0.4%? · Above -0.4%	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,622	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above -0.2%? · Above -0.2%	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,110	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 0.4%? · Above 0.4%	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	2,388	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 0.0%? · Above 0.0%	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	2,291	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 0.2%? · Above 0.2%	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	2,235	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 0.6%? · Above 0.6%	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	193	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.0%? · Above 1.0%	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	57	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 1.2%? · Above 1.2%	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	48	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for October 2026 be above 0.8%? · Above 0.8%	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	28	Nov 18, 08:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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