What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 93¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.25.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 93% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 93%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats on Kalshi

If Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) has won at least 81 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Election Commission of Malaysia.

Market says (typical open contract)

93%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

14% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
93¢ (now)	0.5¢	$0.24	93.5%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 81 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 81 or more	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	28%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 80 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 80 or more	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 78 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 78 or more	60¢	60%	1.7¢	—	80%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 76 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 76 or more	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	36%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 74 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 74 or more	93¢	93%	0.5¢	—	14%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 72 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 72 or more	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 70 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 70 or more	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 66 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 66 or more	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC
Will Gabungan Parti Sarawak (GPS) win at least 60 seats in the 2026 Sarawak state election? · 60 or more	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	Dec 26, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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