Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Starbucks Credit Card Spend on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 106 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 106 ? · Above 106 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 105.5 ? · Above 105.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 105 ? · Above 105 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 104.5 ? · Above 104.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 104 ? · Above 104 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 103.5 ? · Above 103.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 103 ? · Above 103 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 102.5 ? · Above 102.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 102 ? · Above 102 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 101.5 ? · Above 101.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 101 ? · Above 101 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 100.5 ? · Above 100.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
| Will Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend for November 2026 be above 100 ? · Above 100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 07, 03:29 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.