Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Serbian presidential election winner by candidate on Kalshi
If Vojislav Šešelj wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Republic Electoral Commission.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Radomir Saičić | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 547 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vojislav Šešelj win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vojislav Šešelj | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vladan Petrov | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Vladan Đokić | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbian presidential election? · Miloš Vučević | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miloš Jovanović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Miloš Jovanović | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ilija Srdanović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ilija Srdanović | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ivica Dačić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ivica Dačić | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dejan Šoškić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Dejan Šoškić | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbian presidential election? · Đuro Macut | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dejan Bodiroga win the next Serbian presidential election? · Dejan Bodiroga | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbian presidential election? · Branimir Nestorović | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bogoljub Karić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Bogoljub Karić | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandar Čupić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Aleksandar Čupić | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbian presidential election? · Ana Brnabić | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 27, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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