Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Serie C Game on Kalshi
If Tie is the result of the Casarano vs Picerno professional Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
35%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
70% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 35¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.28 | 36.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie is the result · Tie | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Casarano wins · Casarano | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Picerno wins · Picerno | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Union Brescia wins · Union Brescia | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Albinoleffe wins · Albinoleffe | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Arzignano wins · Arzignano | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Alcione Milano wins · Alcione Milano | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Desenzano wins · Desenzano | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Renate wins · Renate | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Reggiana wins · Reggiana | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Livorno wins · Livorno | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Pianese wins · Pianese | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Pesaro wins · Pesaro | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 13:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Foggia wins · Foggia | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Bari wins · Bari | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Giana Erminio wins · Giana Erminio | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Carpi wins · Carpi | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Trento wins · Trento | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Lumezzane wins · Lumezzane | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Gubbio wins · Gubbio | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Grosseto wins · Grosseto | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 16, 16:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Ospitaletto wins · Ospitaletto | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi wins · Dolomiti Bellunesi | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Tie is the result · Tie | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Latina wins · Latina | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
| Campobasso wins · Campobasso | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 15, 19:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.