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SHL Game on Kalshi
If Växjö Lakers wins the Timra IK vs Växjö Lakers professional SHL hockey game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
51%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Växjö Lakers wins · Växjö Lakers | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Timra IK wins · Timra IK | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Skellefteå wins · Skellefteå | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Brynas IF wins · Brynas IF | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Malmo Redhawks wins · Malmo Redhawks | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Frolunda HC wins · Frolunda HC | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Färjestad wins · Färjestad | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Djurgardens IF wins · Djurgardens IF | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Lulea Hockey wins · Lulea Hockey | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| HV71 wins · HV71 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Rogle BK wins · Rogle BK | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| Linkoping HC wins · Linkoping HC | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| IF Bjorkloven wins · IF Bjorkloven | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
| HC Orebro wins · HC Orebro | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 14, 18:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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