Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Silver Monthly Price on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 68.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Silver.
Market says (typical open contract)
80%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
41% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 79¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $0.73 | 80.2% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the silver close price be above 61.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $61.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,645 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 53.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $53.99 | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 802 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 52.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $52.99 | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 726 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 66.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $66.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 646 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 50.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $50.99 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 620 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 49.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $49.99 | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 612 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 60.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $60.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 580 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 56.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $56.99 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 443 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 55.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $55.99 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 415 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 54.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $54.99 | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 327 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 65.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $65.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 312 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 51.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $51.99 | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 281 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 57.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $57.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 211 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 40.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $40.99 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 170 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 58.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $58.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 122 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 48.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $48.99 | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 112 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 39.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $39.99 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 100 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 45.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $45.99 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 74 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 59.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $59.99 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 67 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 64.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $64.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 56 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 47.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $47.99 | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 48 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 63.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $63.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 35 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 46.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $46.99 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 32 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 36.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $36.99 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 22 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 41.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $41.99 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 20 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 42.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $42.99 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 10 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 44.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $44.99 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 5 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 43.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $43.99 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 5 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 68.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $68.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 67.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $67.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 62.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $62.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 38.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $38.99 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 37.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $37.99 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 35.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $35.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 34.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $34.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 33.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $33.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 32.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $32.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 31.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $31.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 30.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $30.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the silver close price be above 29.99 USD/t.oz on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $29.99 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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