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Snowflake Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Snowflake Inc. reports Above 970 customers with trailing 12-month revenue $1m in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
93%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 93¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $0.24 | 93.5% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 950 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 950 | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 35 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 940 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 940 | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 11 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 930 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 930 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 6 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 970 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 970 | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 960 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 960 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 920 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 920 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 910 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 910 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 900 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 900 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 890 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 890 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 880 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 880 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 870 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 870 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 860 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 860 | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Snowflake Inc. report Above 850 customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 850 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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