Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Summer Olympics Cricket Qualifiers on Kalshi
If Zimbabwe achieves qualification in the Men's Cricket competition before 2028 for the Los Angeles 2028 Olympic Games, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the International Olympic Committee, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · India | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,363 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Great Britain qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Great Britain | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,221 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will South Africa qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · South Africa | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 3,934 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zimbabwe qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Zimbabwe | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 1,254 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Guyana qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Guyana | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,240 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Antigua and Barbuda qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Antigua and Barbuda | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,150 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grenada qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Grenada | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,017 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Kitts and Nevis qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Saint Kitts and Nevis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,008 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ireland qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Ireland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 800 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pakistan qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Pakistan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 771 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sri Lanka qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Sri Lanka | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 760 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jamaica qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Jamaica | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 753 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trinidad and Tobago qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Trinidad and Tobago | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 740 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Netherlands qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Netherlands | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 659 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Lucia qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Saint Lucia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 647 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Afghanistan qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Afghanistan | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 588 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Namibia qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Namibia | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 568 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Zealand qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · New Zealand | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 516 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Canada qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Canada | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 423 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bangladesh qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Bangladesh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 422 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nepal qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Nepal | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 381 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Australia qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Australia | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 298 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oman qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Oman | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 224 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will United Arab Emirates qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · United Arab Emirates | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 167 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Barbados qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Barbados | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 139 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Vincent and the Grenadines qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 120 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dominica qualify for LA28 men's cricket? · Dominica | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 52 | Jan 30, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.