What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.43.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

STEAM Top Sellers on Kalshi

If Warframe is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Steam Weekly Top Sellers.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.43	2.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Phantom Blade Zero be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Phantom Blade Zero	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	32	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Bodycam be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Bodycam	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	32	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Warframe be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Warframe	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Steam Deck be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Steam Deck	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Queen's Domain be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Queen's Domain	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Overwatch® be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Overwatch®	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Moon Sweepers be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Moon Sweepers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Marvel Rivals be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Marvel Rivals	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will MapleStory be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · MapleStory	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Loftia be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Loftia	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Godzilla: Destroy All Monsters Melee Remastered be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Godzilla: Destroy All Monsters Melee Remastered	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will FINAL FANTASY XIV: Evercold be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · FINAL FANTASY XIV: Evercold	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will FINAL FANTASY XIV Online be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · FINAL FANTASY XIV Online	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Cyberpunk 2077 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Cyberpunk 2077	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Counter-Strike 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Counter-Strike 2	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Call of Duty® be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Call of Duty®	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will Apex Legends™ be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · Apex Legends™	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC
Will AION 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 10 - Nov 17, 2026? · AION 2	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 17, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.