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Thai 1 League on Kalshi
If Uthai Thani FC is the 2026-27 Thai League 1 Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bangkok Utd win the Thai League 1? · Bangkok Utd | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 20 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Uthai Thani FC win the Thai League 1? · Uthai Thani FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sukhothai win the Thai League 1? · Sukhothai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sisaket United FC win the Thai League 1? · Sisaket United FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rayong FC win the Thai League 1? · Rayong FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ratchaburi win the Thai League 1? · Ratchaburi | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rasisalai United win the Thai League 1? · Rasisalai United | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Prachuap FC win the Thai League 1? · Prachuap FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Port FC win the Thai League 1? · Port FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Pathum United win the Thai League 1? · Pathum United | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Pattani FC win the Thai League 1? · Pattani FC | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lamphun Warriors win the Thai League 1? · Lamphun Warriors | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chonburi win the Thai League 1? · Chonburi | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chiangrai win the Thai League 1? · Chiangrai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Buriram win the Thai League 1? · Buriram | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ayutthaya Utd win the Thai League 1? · Ayutthaya Utd | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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