What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 96¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.16.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 96% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 96%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Talen Energy Annual KPI on Kalshi

If Talen Energy Corporation reports Above 69 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

96%

Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

9% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
96¢ (now)	0.3¢	$0.14	96.3%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 50 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 50 TWh	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,896	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 53 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 53 TWh	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,363	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 58 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 58 TWh	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	850	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 64 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 64 TWh	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	605	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 62 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 62 TWh	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	23%	510	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 63 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 63 TWh	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	24%	509	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 60 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 60 TWh	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	403	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 61 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 61 TWh	91¢	91%	0.6¢	—	18%	402	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 46 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 46 TWh	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	219	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 66 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 66 TWh	69¢	69%	1.5¢	—	62%	200	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 65 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 65 TWh	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	200	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 52 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 52 TWh	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	85	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 47 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 47 TWh	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	62	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 48 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 48 TWh	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	53	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 49 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 49 TWh	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	47	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 51 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 51 TWh	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	39	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 56 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 56 TWh	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	24	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 69 twh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 69 twh	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 68 twh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 68 twh	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report Above 67 twh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 67 twh	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 59 TWh total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 59 TWh	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 57 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 57 TWh	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 55 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 55 TWh	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC
Will Talen Energy Corporation report above 54 total generation (twh) in fiscal 2026? · Above 54 TWh	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	May 02, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.