What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 98¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.09.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 98% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 98%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Toll Brothers Annual KPI on Kalshi

If Toll Brothers Inc. reports Above 9900 deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

98%

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
97¢ (now)	0.2¢	$0.11	97.2%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10500 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10500	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	45%	3,130	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10400 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10400	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	800	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10600 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10600	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	40	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9900 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 9900	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9800 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 9800	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9700 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 9700	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 9600 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 9600	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10700 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10700	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10300 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10300	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10200 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10200	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10100 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10100	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC
Will Toll Brothers Inc. report Above 10000 deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 10000	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 09, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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