What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

top song on spotify runner up? on Kalshi

If Self Aware is the #2 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Spotify.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Babydoll	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	31%	17,869	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · End of Beginning	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	12,989	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Billie Jean be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Billie Jean	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,874	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Beauty and a Beat be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Beauty and a Beat	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,585	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Golden be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Golden	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,492	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will APT. be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · APT.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,473	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will back to friends be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · back to friends	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,417	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will BIRDS OF A FEATHER be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · BIRDS OF A FEATHER	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,211	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will DtMF be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · DtMF	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,187	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Manchild be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Manchild	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	407	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Ordinary be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Ordinary	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	312	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Die With A Smile be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Die With A Smile	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	221	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Man I Need be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Man I Need	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	202	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Soda Pop be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Soda Pop	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	193	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Don’t Say You Love Me be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Don’t Say You Love Me	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	192	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Your Idol be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Your Idol	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	113	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Stateside + Zara Larsson be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Stateside + Zara Larsson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	78	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will hate that i made you love me be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · hate that i made you love me	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will SWIM be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · SWIM	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	59	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will So Easy (To Fall in Love) be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · So Easy (To Fall in Love)	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	51	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Self Aware be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Self Aware	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will drop dead be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · drop dead	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will stupid song be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · stupid song	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will the cure be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · the cure	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Raindance (feat. Tems be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Raindance (feat. Tems)	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.