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Trump meet monthly on Kalshi
If Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet (including phone calls) in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Deutsche Welle, The White House, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, CNBC, New York Times, POLITICO, NBC, CBS News, BBC, ABC News, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Financial Times, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera English, MSNBC.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 75¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $0.88 | 76.3% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Xi Jinping in Nov 2026? · Xi Jinping | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5,641 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Nov 2026? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 4,136 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Elon Musk in Nov 2026? · Elon Musk | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 2,661 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Hakeem Jeffries in Nov 2026? · Hakeem Jeffries | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 2,281 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Kim Jong Un in Nov 2026? · Kim Jong Un | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,218 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Mark Carney in Nov 2026? · Mark Carney | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 1,915 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Claudia Sheinbaum in Nov 2026? · Claudia Sheinbaum | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,881 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Chuck Schumer in Nov 2026? · Chuck Schumer | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,839 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Nov 2026? · Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 1,749 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Sanae Takaichi in Nov 2026? · Sanae Takaichi | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 1,742 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Vladimir Putin in Nov 2026? · Vladimir Putin | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,039 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Mohammed bin Salman in Nov 2026? · Mohammed bin Salman | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 927 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Narendra Modi in Nov 2026? · Narendra Modi | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 653 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Lee Jae-myung in Nov 2026? · Lee Jae-myung | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 479 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Zohran Mamdani in Nov 2026? · Zohran Mamdani | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 294 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Kevin Warsh in Nov 2026? · Kevin Warsh | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 159 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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