What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Tweede Divisie Game on Kalshi

If Tie is the result of the GVVV vs Spakenburg professional Tweede Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Spakenburg wins · Spakenburg	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
GVVV wins · GVVV	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Rkav Volendam wins · Rkav Volendam	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Hardenberg wins · Hardenberg	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Rijnsburgse wins · Rijnsburgse	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Koninklijke wins · Koninklijke	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 13:30 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
IJsselmeervogels wins · IJsselmeervogels	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Barendrecht wins · Barendrecht	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Jong Sparta wins · Jong Sparta	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Kozakken Boys wins · Kozakken Boys	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Quick Boys wins · Quick Boys	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Almere wins · Almere	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Rohda Raalte wins · Rohda Raalte	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Katwijk wins · Katwijk	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:00 UTC
Treffers Groesbeek wins · Treffers Groesbeek	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:15 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 16, 14:15 UTC
Amsterdamsche FC wins · Amsterdamsche FC	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 16, 14:15 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	Nov 15, 18:00 UTC
Kloetinge wins · Kloetinge	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	Nov 15, 18:00 UTC
Hoek wins · Hoek	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	91%	Nov 15, 18:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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