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UEFA Champions League on Kalshi
If Viking is the 2026-27 Champions League winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the Champions League? · Barcelona | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,605,400 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid win the Champions League? · Real Madrid | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 927,073 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will PSG win the Champions League? · PSG | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 710,788 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Como win the Champions League? · Como | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 487,750 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Champions League? · Bayern Munich | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 329,537 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the Champions League? · Arsenal | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 316,453 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico win the Champions League? · Atletico | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 273,395 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool win the Champions League? · Liverpool | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 267,010 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City win the Champions League? · Manchester City | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 261,623 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Roma win the Champions League? · Roma | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 221,255 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United win the Champions League? · Manchester United | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 209,830 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Stuttgart win the Champions League? · Stuttgart | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100,168 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Inter win the Champions League? · Inter | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 91,998 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Dortmund win the Champions League? · Dortmund | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 80,641 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Real Betis win the Champions League? · Real Betis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 62,305 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa win the Champions League? · Aston Villa | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 53,337 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bodoe/Glimt win the Champions League? · Bodoe/Glimt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 29,312 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sporting CP win the Champions League? · Sporting CP | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,296 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Napoli win the Champions League? · Napoli | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 14,640 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Lens win the Champions League? · Lens | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,570 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal win the Champions League? · Villarreal | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,357 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Galatasaray win the Champions League? · Galatasaray | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,209 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Fenerbahce win the Champions League? · Fenerbahce | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,882 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Leipzig win the Champions League? · Leipzig | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,428 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Club Brugge win the Champions League? · Club Brugge | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,570 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Porto win the Champions League? · Porto | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,880 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Feyenoord win the Champions League? · Feyenoord | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,625 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Viking win the Champions League? · Viking | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,057 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Lille win the Champions League? · Lille | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,333 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Shakhtar win the Champions League? · Shakhtar | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 992 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will AEK Athens win the Champions League? · AEK Athens | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 565 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sabah Masazir win the Champions League? · Sabah Masazir | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 187 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the Champions League? · PSV Eindhoven | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 144 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Slavia Prague win the Champions League? · Slavia Prague | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Slovan Bratislava win the Champions League? · Slovan Bratislava | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 35 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
| Will LASK win the Champions League? · LASK | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2 | Jun 19, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.