Markets › Kalshi › Sports
1st Half BTTS on Kalshi
If Turkiye and Belgium both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Turkiye vs Belgium UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 2 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score in the 1st Half? · 1st Half: Both Teams To Score | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 14, 17:00 UTC |
| Both teams score in the 1st Half? · 1st Half: Both Teams To Score | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 14, 17:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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