Markets › Kalshi › Companies
Urban Outfitters Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Urban Outfitters, Inc. reports above 855 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
20%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
40% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20¢ (now) | 1.1¢ | $2.80 | 21.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 845 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 845 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3,073 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 815 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 815 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 2,819 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 820 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 820 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1,799 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 850 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 850 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,789 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 835 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 835 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,535 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 855 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 855 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 973 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 840 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 840 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 802 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 830 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 830 | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 456 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 5% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 5% | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 400 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 9% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 9% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 825 total urbn stores in fiscal 2027? · Above 825 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 25, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 8% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 8% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 7% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 7% | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 6% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 6% | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 4% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 4% | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 3% total retail segment comparable sales in fiscal 2027? · Above 3% | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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