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U.S. data center capacity on Kalshi

If the Americas operational data center capacity for year-end 2026 is above 65.0 GW, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.

Market says (typical open contract)
70%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
59% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
71¢ (now)1.4¢$1.0272.4%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 60.0 GW? · Above 60.0 GW40¢40%1.7¢—80%506Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 57.5 GW? · Above 57.5 GW52¢52%1.7¢—97%297Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 52.5 GW? · Above 52.5 GW80¢80%1.1¢—40%200Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 50.0 GW? · Above 50.0 GW87¢87%0.8¢—26%200Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 62.5 GW? · Above 62.5 GW29¢29%1.4¢—57%197Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 65.0 GW? · Above 65.0 GW16¢16%0.9¢—32%189Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 45.0 GW? · Above 45.0 GW96¢96%0.3¢—9%37Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 55.0 GW? · Above 55.0 GW70¢70%1.5¢—59%5Mar 05, 15:00 UTC
Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 47.5 GW? · Above 47.5 GW93¢93%0.5¢—14%0Mar 05, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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