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U.S. data center capacity on Kalshi
If the Americas operational data center capacity for year-end 2026 is above 65.0 GW, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
Market says (typical open contract)
70%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
59% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 71¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $1.02 | 72.4% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 60.0 GW? · Above 60.0 GW | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 506 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 57.5 GW? · Above 57.5 GW | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 297 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 52.5 GW? · Above 52.5 GW | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 200 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 50.0 GW? · Above 50.0 GW | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 200 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 62.5 GW? · Above 62.5 GW | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 197 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 65.0 GW? · Above 65.0 GW | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 189 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 45.0 GW? · Above 45.0 GW | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 37 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 55.0 GW? · Above 55.0 GW | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 5 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Americas operational data center capacity for 2026 be above 47.5 GW? · Above 47.5 GW | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Mar 05, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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