What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

USL Championship on Kalshi

If FC Tulsa is the 2026 USL Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Loudoun United FC win the USL Championship? · Loudoun United FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,039	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Charleston Battery win the USL Championship? · Charleston Battery	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	328	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Tampa Bay Rowdies win the USL Championship? · Tampa Bay Rowdies	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	182	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Louisville City FC win the USL Championship? · Louisville City FC	41¢	41%	1.7¢	—	82%	132	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will FC Tulsa win the USL Championship? · FC Tulsa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	48	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the USL Championship? · Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	35	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Indy Eleven win the USL Championship? · Indy Eleven	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	21	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Sacramento Republic FC win the USL Championship? · Sacramento Republic FC	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	18	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will New Mexico United win the USL Championship? · New Mexico United	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	17	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Orange County SC win the USL Championship? · Orange County SC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Lexington SC win the USL Championship? · Lexington SC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Brooklyn FC win the USL Championship? · Brooklyn FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Rhode Island FC win the USL Championship? · Rhode Island FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will El Paso Locomotive FC win the USL Championship? · El Paso Locomotive FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Sporting Jax win the USL Championship? · Sporting Jax	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will San Antonio FC win the USL Championship? · San Antonio FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Phoenix Rising FC win the USL Championship? · Phoenix Rising FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Oakland Roots SC win the USL Championship? · Oakland Roots SC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Monterey Bay FC win the USL Championship? · Monterey Bay FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Miami FC win the USL Championship? · Miami FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Las Vegas Lights win the USL Championship? · Las Vegas Lights	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Hartford Athletic win the USL Championship? · Hartford Athletic	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Detroit City FC win the USL Championship? · Detroit City FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC win the USL Championship? · Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC
Will Birmingham Legion FC win the USL Championship? · Birmingham Legion FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 30, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.