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Venezuela Primera Division on Kalshi
If Zamora FC is the 2026 Venezuela Liga FUTVE champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
85% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 42¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.03 | 43.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Academia Anzoategui FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Academia Anzoategui FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 31 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Tachira win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Deportivo Tachira | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 2 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zamora FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Zamora FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UCV FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · UCV FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trujillanos FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Trujillanos FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Portuguesa FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Portuguesa FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Monagas SC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Monagas SC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Metropolitanos FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Estudiantes de Merida win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Estudiantes de Merida | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo Rayo Zuliano win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo La Guaira win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Deportivo La Guaira | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carabobo FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Carabobo FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caracas FC win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Caracas FC | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Academia Puerto Cabello win the Venezuela Liga FUTVE? · Academia Puerto Cabello | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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