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Trump VoteHub approval rating (weekly) on Kalshi
If Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average is below 37.5% at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: VoteHub.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
25% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 38.1 and 38.3 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 38.1-38.3% | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 187 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be below 37.5 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · Below 37.5% | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 39.0 and 39.2 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 39.0-39.2% | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 38.7 and 38.9 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 38.7-38.9% | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 38.4 and 38.6 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 38.4-38.6% | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 37.8 and 38.0 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 37.8-38.0% | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be between 37.5 and 37.7 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · 37.5-37.7% | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average be above 39.2 at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 13, 2026? · Above 39.2% | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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