Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
who will be eliminated from the voice on Kalshi
If Mia Knight is officially eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC.
Market says (typical open contract)
14%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
28% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $3.01 | 14.8% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mia Knight be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Mia Knight | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Lexi Stephens be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Lexi Stephens | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Koumba Diallo be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Koumba Diallo | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Kyle Davis be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Kyle Davis | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Joey Henley be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Joey Henley | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ferryn & Brinkley be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Ferryn & Brinkley | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dakota Cohen be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Dakota Cohen | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Cade Mower be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Cade Mower | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Connor Closs be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Connor Closs | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will BigCountry be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · BigCountry | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Brianna Cameron be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Brianna Cameron | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Anna McElroy be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 17, 2026? · Anna McElroy | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 17, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.