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where will contestant rank on the voice on Kalshi
If Owen Uffens finishes in Top 3 on The Voice Season 30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 84 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dakota Cohen finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Dakota Cohen | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 1 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cade Mower finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Cade Mower | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 1 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Owen Uffens finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Owen Uffens | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nina Howland finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Nina Howland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marcus Ladden Jr. finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Marcus Ladden Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mia Knight finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Mia Knight | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lexi Stephens finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Lexi Stephens | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lillie Kolich finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Lillie Kolich | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keiyana Osmond finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Keiyana Osmond | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayleigh Mathews finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Kayleigh Mathews | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Koumba Diallo finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Koumba Diallo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Davis finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Kyle Davis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joey Henley finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Joey Henley | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ferryn & Brinkley finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Ferryn & Brinkley | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Evan James finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Evan James | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Everett Bounds finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Everett Bounds | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Destinee Monroe finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Destinee Monroe | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chari finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Chari | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Closs finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Connor Closs | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn Marie finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Brooklyn Marie | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryan Jaymes finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Bryan Jaymes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BigCountry finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · BigCountry | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brandon Diaz finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Brandon Diaz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brianna Cameron finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Brianna Cameron | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Allie Rae finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Allie Rae | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amanda Mikkel finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Amanda Mikkel | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anna McElroy finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Anna McElroy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alt Bloom finish in in the Top 3 on The Voice Season 30? · Alt Bloom | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Owen Uffens finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Owen Uffens | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nina Howland finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Nina Howland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marcus Ladden Jr. finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Marcus Ladden Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mia Knight finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Mia Knight | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lexi Stephens finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Lexi Stephens | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lillie Kolich finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Lillie Kolich | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Keiyana Osmond finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Keiyana Osmond | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayleigh Mathews finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Kayleigh Mathews | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Koumba Diallo finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Koumba Diallo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Davis finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Kyle Davis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joey Henley finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Joey Henley | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ferryn & Brinkley finish in 3rd Place on The Voice Season 30? · Ferryn & Brinkley | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 84 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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