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2028 Vice Presidential election winner on Kalshi
If Wes Moore wins the 2028 United States vice presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: U.S. Senate, National Archives and Records Administration.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Gretchen Whitmer | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 11,827 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 9,857 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Marco Rubio | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 8,242 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · James Talarico | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 7,873 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Kamala Harris | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,217 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Donald J. Trump | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,712 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Pete Buttigieg | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 4,621 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Ron DeSantis | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,258 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Andy Beshear | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,570 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Jon Ossoff | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,456 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Wes Moore | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,393 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Gavin Newsom | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 720 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Erika Kirk | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 660 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Donald J. Trump Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 641 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Josh Shapiro | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 599 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Mark Kelly | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 535 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Katie Britt | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 507 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Michelle Obama | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 500 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Roy Cooper | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 346 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Elissa Slotkin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 133 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Ro Khanna | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 90 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Elise Stefanik | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 41 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Byron Donalds | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 41 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 40 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Raphael Warnock | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 40 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · Glenn Youngkin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 40 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? · J.D. Vance | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 06, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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