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Boxing Featherweight Title on Kalshi
If Angelo Leo holds the WBC Featherweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Bruce Carrington | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 394 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 295 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Rey Vargas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 111 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Rafael Espinoza | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 102 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Nick Ball | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Angelo Leo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Omar Trinidad | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Alan Picasso | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Rene Palacios | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Luis Nery | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Mikito Nakano | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Cristobal Lorente | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Otabek Kholmatov | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Joet Gonzalez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Michael Conlan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Nathaniel Collins | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Featherweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Reiya Abe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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