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Boxing Flyweight Title on Kalshi
If Galal Yafai holds the WBC Flyweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Joselito Velazquez | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,864 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Galal Yafai | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 877 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 720 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Felix Alvarado | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 17 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Masamichi Yabuki | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Kyosuke Takami | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ricardo Sandoval | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Francisco Rodriguez Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yankiel Rivera | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Tobias Reyes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ndabezinhle Phiri | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Arvin Paciones | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Anthony Olascuaga | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yoali Mosqueda | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Angel Ayala Lardizabal | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Jesse Espinas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Brandon Daord | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Thananchai Charunphak | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Flyweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Rene Calixto Bibiano | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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