What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Boxing Middleweight Title on Kalshi

If Keith Thurman holds the WBC Middleweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Sebastian Fundora	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	422	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Carlos Adames	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	323	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Keith Thurman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Callum Walsh	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Jesus Ramos	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Etinosa Oliha	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Meiirim Nursultanov	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Vito Mielnicki	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Aaron McKenna	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Eumir Marcial	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Bilal Jkitou	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Troy Isley	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yoenli Hernandez	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Fiodor Czerkaszyn	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Serhii Bohachuk	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Dylan Biggs	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Zhanibek Alimkhanuly	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	60	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Middleweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Austin Williams	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	56	Jan 01, 17:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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