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Boxing Welterweight Title on Kalshi
If no one holds the WBC Welterweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Manny Pacquiao | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 4,309 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ryan Garcia | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 1,701 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Conor Benn | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 620 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Samuel Molina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Mario Barrios | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Rohan Polanco | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Brian Norman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yaroslav Mykhalushko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Teofimo Lopez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Egidijus Kavaliauskas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Devin Haney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Raul Curiel | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Lewis Crocker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Souleymane Cissokho | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Karen Chukhadzhian | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Jack Catterall | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Arnold Barboza | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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