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Women's World Cup on Kalshi
If Zambia is the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Spain | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 22,288 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · USA | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 15,189 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Colombia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,940 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Japan win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Japan | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 3,393 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will England win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · England | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 2,905 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Jamaica win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Jamaica | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,145 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brazil win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Brazil | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,737 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Philippines win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Philippines | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,711 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Germany win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Germany | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,642 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Vietnam win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Vietnam | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,525 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will South Africa win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · South Africa | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,244 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Portugal | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,239 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Switzerland | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,203 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Korea Republic win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Korea Republic | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,107 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Argentina | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,096 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will France win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · France | 5¢ | 5% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,022 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Australia win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Australia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 974 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Norway | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 924 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Nigeria win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Nigeria | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 895 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will China PR win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · China PR | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 743 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Morocco | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 698 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ireland win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Ireland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 590 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Canada | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 446 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Netherlands | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 362 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Denmark win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Denmark | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 234 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sweden win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Sweden | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 164 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will New Zealand win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · New Zealand | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 117 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Zambia win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Zambia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Panama win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Panama | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Italy win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Italy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Haiti win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Haiti | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Costa Rica win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup? · Costa Rica | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Aug 09, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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