What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 64¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.26.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 66% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 64%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

Wisconsin corn yield on Kalshi

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 196 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Market says (typical open contract)

64%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

72% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
64¢ (now)	1.6¢	$1.26	65.6%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 168 bu/acre? · Above 168 bu/acre	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	42,696	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 184 bu/acre? · Above 184 bu/acre	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	24,917	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 176 bu/acre? · Above 176 bu/acre	82¢	82%	1.1¢	—	37%	19,171	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 196 bu/acre? · Above 196 bu/acre	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	16,457	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 180 bu/acre? · Above 180 bu/acre	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	72%	15,099	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 188 bu/acre? · Above 188 bu/acre	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	9,756	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 172 bu/acre? · Above 172 bu/acre	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	23%	9,332	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 192 bu/acre? · Above 192 bu/acre	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	8,320	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 164 bu/acre? · Above 164 bu/acre	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	144	Jan 31, 16:29 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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