What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 47¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.86.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 49% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 47%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

WNBA Finals Qualifiers on Kalshi

If Washington qualifies for the Women's Pro Basketball Finals in the 2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

47%

Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

94% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
47¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.86	48.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Atlanta · Atlanta	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Washington · Washington	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Toronto · Toronto	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Seattle · Seattle	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Phoenix · Phoenix	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Portland · Portland	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: New York · New York	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Minnesota · Minnesota	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Las Vegas · Las Vegas	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Los Angeles · Los Angeles	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Indiana · Indiana	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Houston · Houston	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Golden State · Golden State	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	93%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Dallas · Dallas	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers: Chicago · Chicago	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.