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WNBA Most Valuable Player on Kalshi

If Veronica Burton wins WNBA Most Valuable Player in the 2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 83 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
47¢ (now)1.7¢$1.8648.7%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Veronica Burton · Veronica Burton48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Tiffany Hayes · Tiffany Hayes48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Sydney Taylor · Sydney Taylor48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Satou Sabally · Satou Sabally48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Saniya Rivers · Saniya Rivers48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Sabrina Ionescu · Sabrina Ionescu48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Skylar Diggins · Skylar Diggins48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Sonia Citron · Sonia Citron48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Shakira Austin · Shakira Austin48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Rickea Jackson · Rickea Jackson48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Rhyne Howard · Rhyne Howard48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Rae Burrell · Rae Burrell48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Paige Bueckers · Paige Bueckers48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Pauline Astier · Pauline Astier48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Olivia Nelson-Ododa · Olivia Nelson-Ododa48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Olivia Miles · Olivia Miles48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: NaLyssa Smith · NaLyssa Smith48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Natasha Mack · Natasha Mack48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Natasha Howard · Natasha Howard48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Naz Hillmon · Naz Hillmon48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Natisha Hiedeman · Natisha Hiedeman48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Napheesa Collier · Napheesa Collier48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Makayla Timpson · Makayla Timpson48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Michaela Onyenwere · Michaela Onyenwere48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Marina Mabrey · Marina Mabrey48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Marine Johannes · Marine Johannes48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Megan DiLeo · Megan DiLeo48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Maria Conde · Maria Conde48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Monique Billings · Monique Billings48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Laura Juskaite · Laura Juskaite48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Lauren Betts · Lauren Betts48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kayla Thornton · Kayla Thornton48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kiah Stokes · Kiah Stokes48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kelsey Plum · Kelsey Plum48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kelsey Mitchell · Kelsey Mitchell48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kayla McBride · Kayla McBride48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kiki Iriafen · Kiki Iriafen48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kahleah Copper · Kahleah Copper48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kaila Charles · Kaila Charles48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC
2027 Women's Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player: Kamilla Cardoso · Kamilla Cardoso48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Jan 07, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 83 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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