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Women's Pro Basketball Next Commissioner on Kalshi
If Angie Craig is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position of Commissioner of the WNBA before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports, the Governing League, Bleacher Report, The Athletic.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Nneka Ogwumike · Nneka Ogwumike | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,864 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Candice Storey Lee · Candice Storey Lee | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,695 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Mark Tatum · Mark Tatum | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,299 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Renie Anderson · Renie Anderson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,210 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Keia Clarke · Keia Clarke | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,916 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Swin Cash · Swin Cash | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 999 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Sue Bird · Sue Bird | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 975 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Diana Taurasi · Diana Taurasi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 874 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Nadia Rawlinson · Nadia Rawlinson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 579 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Bethany Donaphin · Bethany Donaphin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 577 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Jess Smith · Jess Smith | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 372 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Amy Brooks · Amy Brooks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 371 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Angie Craig · Angie Craig | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Taj McWilliams-Franklin · Taj McWilliams-Franklin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Sandra Douglass Morgan · Sandra Douglass Morgan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Sherika Montgomery · Sherika Montgomery | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Sarah Mensah · Sarah Mensah | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Suzanne Abair · Suzanne Abair | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Nina King · Nina King | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Michelle Obama · Michelle Obama | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Micky Lawler · Micky Lawler | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Li Li Leung · Li Li Leung | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Kelly Krauskopf · Kelly Krauskopf | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Kamala Harris · Kamala Harris | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Jennifer Rizzotti · Jennifer Rizzotti | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Harvey Mason Jr. · Harvey Mason Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Geno Auriemma · Geno Auriemma | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Carla Williams · Carla Williams | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Candace Parker · Candace Parker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Cheryl Miller · Cheryl Miller | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Colie Edison · Colie Edison | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Allison Feaster · Allison Feaster | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Next Commissioner of WNBA: Andrea Brimmer · Andrea Brimmer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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