Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Womens TGL Match on Kalshi
If Los Angeles Golf Club (W) wins the Los Angeles Golf Club (W) vs Boston Common Golf (W) professional WTGL golf match originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, WTGL.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Boston Common Golf (W) win the Boston Common Golf (W) vs Motor City Golf Club (W) match? · Boston Common Golf (W) | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 6 | Dec 01, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles Golf Club (W) win the Los Angeles Golf Club (W) vs Boston Common Golf (W) match? · Los Angeles Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Boston Common Golf (W) win the Los Angeles Golf Club (W) vs Boston Common Golf (W) match? · Boston Common Golf (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will New York Golf Club (W) win the New York Golf Club (W) vs Atlanta Drive GC (W) match? · New York Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 23, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta Drive GC (W) win the New York Golf Club (W) vs Atlanta Drive GC (W) match? · Atlanta Drive GC (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 23, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles Golf Club (W) win the Atlanta Drive GC (W) vs Los Angeles Golf Club (W) match? · Los Angeles Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 21, 01:30 UTC |
| Will Atlanta Drive GC (W) win the Atlanta Drive GC (W) vs Los Angeles Golf Club (W) match? · Atlanta Drive GC (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 21, 01:30 UTC |
| Will New York Golf Club (W) win the New York Golf Club (W) vs Motor City Golf Club (W) match? · New York Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 16, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Motor City Golf Club (W) win the New York Golf Club (W) vs Motor City Golf Club (W) match? · Motor City Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 16, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Motor City Golf Club (W) win the Motor City Golf Club (W) vs Atlanta Drive GC (W) match? · Motor City Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 13, 20:30 UTC |
| Will Atlanta Drive GC (W) win the Motor City Golf Club (W) vs Atlanta Drive GC (W) match? · Atlanta Drive GC (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 13, 20:30 UTC |
| Will New York Golf Club (W) win the Boston Common Golf (W) vs New York Golf Club (W) match? · New York Golf Club (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Will Boston Common Golf (W) win the Boston Common Golf (W) vs New York Golf Club (W) match? · Boston Common Golf (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Will Boston Common Golf (W) win the Atlanta Drive GC (W) vs Boston Common Golf (W) match? · Boston Common Golf (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 09, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta Drive GC (W) win the Atlanta Drive GC (W) vs Boston Common Golf (W) match? · Atlanta Drive GC (W) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 09, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Motor City Golf Club (W) win the Boston Common Golf (W) vs Motor City Golf Club (W) match? · Motor City Golf Club (W) | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles Golf Club (W) win the Motor City Golf Club (W) vs Los Angeles Golf Club (W) match? · Los Angeles Golf Club (W) | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 25, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Motor City Golf Club (W) win the Motor City Golf Club (W) vs Los Angeles Golf Club (W) match? · Motor City Golf Club (W) | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 25, 01:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.