Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
WTI oil weekly range on Kalshi
If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(December 2026 contract) on November 13, 2026 is below 79.00 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ICE.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 103.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · Above $103.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,329 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 88.00 and 88.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $88.00 to $88.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,183 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $90.00 to $90.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,041 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 89.00 and 89.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $89.00 to $89.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,993 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 86.00 and 86.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $86.00 to $86.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,596 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 91.00 and 91.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $91.00 to $91.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,572 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 99.00 and 99.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $99.00 to $99.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,544 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 87.00 and 87.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $87.00 to $87.99 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,300 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 92.00 and 92.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $92.00 to $92.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,095 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 85.00 and 85.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $85.00 to $85.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,040 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be below 79.00 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · Below $79.00 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 979 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 93.00 and 93.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $93.00 to $93.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 973 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 81.00 and 81.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $81.00 to $81.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 563 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 80.00 and 80.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $80.00 to $80.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 500 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 84.00 and 84.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $84.00 to $84.99 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 241 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 94.00 and 94.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $94.00 to $94.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 203 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 101.00 and 101.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $101.00 to $101.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 114 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 82.00 and 82.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $82.00 to $82.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 107 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 83.00 and 83.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $83.00 to $83.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 54 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 95.00 and 95.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $95.00 to $95.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 21 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 96.00 and 96.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $96.00 to $96.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 10 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 98.00 and 98.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $98.00 to $98.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 97.00 and 97.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $97.00 to $97.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 79.00 and 79.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $79.00 to $79.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 100.00 and 100.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $100.00 to $100.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 103.00 and 103.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $103.00 to $103.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
| Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 102.00 and 102.99 USD/Bbl on Nov 13, 2026? · $102.00 to $102.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.