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youtube weekly top songs on Kalshi
If WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs United States Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: YouTube Charts.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will What You Need rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · What You Need | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Thriller rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Thriller | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Thin Ice rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Thin Ice | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tarantino rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Tarantino | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will SaWaDiKa rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · SaWaDiKa | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Nicole Kidman rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Nicole Kidman | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Housewife rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Housewife | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Hootie Frutti rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Hootie Frutti | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Golden rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Golden | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will expectations rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · expectations | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Dai Dai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Choosin' Texas rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Choosin' Texas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will BbY WOW rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · BbY WOW | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.