What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Zscaler quarter kpi on Kalshi

If Zscaler, Inc. reports above 865 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 825 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 825	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	8,832	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 815 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 815	14¢	14%	0.9¢	—	29%	4,826	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 790 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 790	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	2,418	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 820 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 820	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	2,090	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 800 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 800	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	31%	1,521	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 795 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 795	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	804	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 805 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 805	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	63%	106	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 810 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 810	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	82	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 865 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 865	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.