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New Jersey Gas Prices This Week on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the New Jersey average price of regular gas is greater than $3.8600 for November 16, 2026. Outcome sourced from AAA. This market settles based on the New Jersey average gas prices published daily by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=NJ. Each date's price is used as published by AAA at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided the price has been updated for that date. If the price has not been updated at that time, the first price updated for that date will be used. If the price for the specified date has not been published within 3 calendar days (ET) of that date, this market will settle to No. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/pro

Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
48% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
24¢ (now)1.7¢$3.6125.7%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week25¢25%1.8¢—50%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week85¢85%1.2¢—30%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week34¢34%2.1¢—68%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week31¢31%2.0¢—62%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week18¢18%1.4¢—36%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC
New Jersey Gas Prices This Week13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 24, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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