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Texas Gas Prices This Month on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Texas average price of regular gas is greater than $3.1000 for November 30, 2026. Outcome sourced from AAA. This market settles based on the Texas average gas prices published daily by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=TX. Each date's price is used as published by AAA at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided the price has been updated for that date. If the price has not been updated at that time, the first price updated for that date will be used. If the price for the specified date has not been published within 3 calendar days (ET) of that date, this market will settle to No. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS

Market says (typical open contract)
13%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
26% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
13¢ (now)1.1¢$4.1314.1%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Texas Gas Prices This Month56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC
Texas Gas Prices This Month9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Dec 08, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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