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2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Luciano Darderi wins at least one of the four 2027 Grand Slam mens singles titles: the Australian Open, Roland-Garros, Wimbledon, or the US Open. If the player does not win any of the four for any reason, including withdrawal or not competing, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from ATP.

Market says (typical open contract)
69%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
62% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
69¢ (now)2.0¢$1.4771.0%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners39¢39%2.3¢—78%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners86¢86%1.1¢—28%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners29¢29%2.0¢—58%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners93¢93%0.6¢—14%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC
2027 Men's Grand Slam Singles Winners99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Sep 27, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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