What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 41¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.80.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 43% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 41%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Arsenal EPL Points on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Arsenal FC finishes the 2026-2027 Premier League season with at least 90 points. Outcome sourced from Premier League.

Market says (typical open contract)

41%

Median YES price across 100 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

82% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
41¢ (now)	2.3¢	$2.80	43.3%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Arsenal EPL Points	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Arsenal EPL Points	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Arsenal EPL Points	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Arsenal EPL Points	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Arsenal EPL Points	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Aston Villa EPL Points	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Aston Villa EPL Points	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Aston Villa EPL Points	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Aston Villa EPL Points	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Aston Villa EPL Points	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Bournemouth EPL Points	27¢	27%	1.9¢	—	54%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Bournemouth EPL Points	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Bournemouth EPL Points	65¢	65%	2.2¢	—	70%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brentford EPL Points	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Bournemouth EPL Points	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brentford EPL Points	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Bournemouth EPL Points	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brentford EPL Points	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brentford EPL Points	87¢	87%	1.1¢	—	26%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brighton & Hove EPL Points	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brentford EPL Points	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brighton & Hove EPL Points	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brighton & Hove EPL Points	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Chelsea EPL Points	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Coventry EPL Points	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brighton & Hove EPL Points	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Chelsea EPL Points	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Crystal Palace EPL Points	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Coventry EPL Points	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Brighton & Hove EPL Points	89¢	89%	0.9¢	—	22%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Chelsea EPL Points	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Crystal Palace EPL Points	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Coventry EPL Points	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Chelsea EPL Points	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Crystal Palace EPL Points	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Coventry EPL Points	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Chelsea EPL Points	73¢	73%	1.9¢	—	54%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Coventry EPL Points	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Crystal Palace EPL Points	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Crystal Palace EPL Points	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Jun 14, 03:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 100 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.