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Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Xavier Watts records the most defensive interceptions in the 2026 Pro Football regular season. If two or more players tie for the most interceptions, each tied player's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of tied players. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 37 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $4.46 | 6.5% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 32¢ | 32% | 2.1¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Regular Season Def Interceptions Leader Player | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Trent McDuffie | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Alex Anzalone | 42¢ | 42% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Hezekiah Masses | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Amani Hooker | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Ernest Jones IV | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
| Devin Lloyd | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 25, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.