What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 16¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $3.99.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 17% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 16%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Zach Werenski on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Zach Werenski records 100 or more points in the 2026-27 NHL regular season. Statistics are based on official regular season games only. If the 202627 NHL season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened, the market will settle based on the players final official statistics for the season. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

16%

Median YES price across 34 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

32% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
16¢ (now)	1.3¢	$3.99	17.3%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Zach Werenski	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Kirill Kaprizov	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Wyatt Johnston	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Sidney Crosby	95¢	95%	0.5¢	—	10%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Tim Stutzle	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Cole Caufield	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Jake Guentzel	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Matt Boldy	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Matthew Tkachuk	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Robert Thomas	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Mark Scheifele	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Brandon Hagel	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Quinn Hughes	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Auston Matthews	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Cale Makar	71¢	71%	2.0¢	—	58%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Artemi Panarin	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Jack Hughes	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Evan Bouchard	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Mitch Marner	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Clayton Keller	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Kyle Connor	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
William Nylander	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Martin Necas	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Mark Stone	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Jack Eichel	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Mikko Rantanen	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Jason Robertson	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Nick Suzuki	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
David Pastrnak	69¢	69%	2.0¢	—	62%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Macklin Celebrini	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Leon Draisaitl	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Nathan MacKinnon	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Nikita Kucherov	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Connor McDavid	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.