What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.61.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL Regular Season Points Totals on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Winnipeg Jets record 85 or more points in the 2026-2027 NHL regular season. If the 2026-2027 NHL season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened such that the outcome cannot be determined, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 101 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.3¢	$4.61	3.3%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	96¢	96%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	91¢	91%	0.8¢	—	18%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	95¢	95%	0.5¢	—	10%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	92¢	92%	0.7¢	—	16%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	88¢	88%	1.0¢	—	24%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Regular Season Points Totals	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Jason Robertson	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Morgan Geekie	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
William Nylander	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Cutter Gauthier	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Zach Hyman	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Tage Thompson	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Nikita Kucherov	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
Artemi Panarin	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 101 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.