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Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Scottie Scheffler records exactly 0 or 1 official PGA TOUR wins during the 2027 PGA TOUR season. For purposes of this market, every tournament credited as an official PGA TOUR win counts toward the total, taken from the official win record published by the PGA TOUR; results not credited as an official PGA TOUR win, including unofficial events and wins on LIV Golf, the DP World Tour, or any other tour, do not count. If all 2027 PGA TOUR events are cancelled or Scottie Scheffler does not participate in any 2027 PGA TOUR event, the market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from PGA TOUR.

Market says (typical open contract)
98%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%
98¢ (now)0.2¢$0.1098.2%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Scottie Scheffler 2027 PGA TOUR Wins98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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