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Jordan Spieth to Complete the Career Grand Slam in 2027 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Jordan Spieth wins the 2027 PGA Championship scheduled for May 20-23, 2027 (as of the listing of the events first instrument). If the tournament is cancelled, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the tournament is played and Jordan Spieth does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled, the market will remain open and settle once an official winner is declared. Outcome sourced from PGA TOUR.

Market says (typical open contract)
91%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
18% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%
91¢ (now)0.8¢$0.4391.8%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Jordan Spieth to Complete the Career Grand Slam in 202791¢91%0.8¢—18%0Jun 07, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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