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Texas (W) vs Green Bay (W) (basketball), November 18 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to the winner of the Texas (W) vs Green Bay (W) women's college basketball game scheduled for November 18, 2026 at 7:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, the market will settle to $0.50. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
| 99¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $0.05 | 99.1% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win in the upcoming basketball event Texas (W) vs Green Bay (W) scheduled for November 18, 2026 at 7:30PM ET? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 03, 00:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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